Market

Hey, Ross Givens here! Monday’s 1.5% drop in the S&P 500 looked rough at first glance—but beneath the surface, something unusual happened. Despite the pullback, 350 stocks advanced while only 150 declined. That’s the first time in over 20 years we’ve seen this kind of divergence. The index fell because of mega-cap tech, but as I explain today, we’re not index investors. There’s a bigger opportunity here.

Hey, Ross Givens here! Today’s chart tracks the ratio of XLP – the S&P Consumer Staples ETF – to the S&P 500 since the October 2022 bull market began. Consumer Staples, a defensive sector, typically gain traction when investors shy away from risk. But the steady decline in this ratio suggests investors are staying offensive, even during choppy periods like December. The big question now? Where exactly are they channeling this offensive mindset? I dive into the details in today’s Insight.

Hey, Ross Givens here! The S&P 500 Equal Weight Technology Sector ETF (RSPT) hit a new all-time high last Thursday, showcasing the strength of tech stocks across the board—not just the mega-caps. While it dipped slightly on Friday, the momentum here is undeniable. Tech has been the leader in most bull markets for decades, and this is a strong signal of a healthy rally. I break it all down in today’s Insight.

Hey, Ross Givens here! There’s nearly $6.9 trillion sitting in money market funds right now—just waiting to flood into equities. While this number has dipped slightly, I expect it to keep falling as more capital moves into risk assets. The key? Positioning yourself before the floodgates open. I break it all down in today’s Insight.

Hey, Ross Givens here! Last week, the AAII survey showed 41% bearish sentiment and only 25% bullish—a clear edge for the bears. Fast forward one week, and it’s a complete flip: 43% bullish and 29% bearish. This dramatic shift screams opportunity, but there’s a key caveat you need to know. I explain it all in today’s Insight.

Hey, Ross Givens here! The percentage of stocks trading above their 50-day moving averages has jumped from 27% to 48% in just over a week. That’s a strong rebound, but here’s the key: this type of surge in participation isn’t unusual in healthy bull markets—it’s expected. What does this mean for the rally ahead? I break it down in today’s Insight.

Hey, Ross here! This week’s AAII sentiment survey shows individual investors are at their most bearish since November 2023—right before the market surged. History tells us that when bearish sentiment peaks, it’s often a bullish signal. Of course, nothing is guaranteed, but when you pair this with two other compelling factors I outline below, the odds start to look very much in your favor. Don’t miss this opportunity—I explain why in today’s Insight.

Hey, Ross here! This week’s AAII sentiment survey shows individual investors are at their most bearish since November 2023—right before the market surged. History tells us that when bearish sentiment peaks, it’s often a bullish signal. Of course, nothing is guaranteed, but when you pair this with two other compelling factors I outline below, the odds start to look very much in your favor. Don’t miss this opportunity—I explain why in today’s Insight.

Hey, Ross here! The relationship between the 10-year Treasury yield and the stock market has been intriguing during this bull market. Typically, higher yields mean lower stock prices—and lately, that’s held true. But yesterday brought a twist: the largest drop in 10-year yields since December 2023. This could signal a turning point, especially with short positions in Treasury bonds at record highs. If yields keep falling, those shorts could fuel an even steeper decline—great news for stocks. I unpack the implications in today’s Insight.

Hey, Ross here! Earnings season is here, and the data tells a compelling story. This chart highlights the S&P 500’s estimated quarterly earnings versus actual results, and the trend is clear: actual earnings usually outperform estimates—even during tough markets like 2022. With fourth-quarter earnings growth estimated at 11.7%, the real numbers could be even better. Despite recent market turbulence, these fundamentals remain strong. Don’t let short-term noise shake you out—stay in the game, but do it