Archives

These Traders are Deranged

Hey, Ross here! Investor sentiment often says more about politics than price action. In today’s chart, you’ll see how bullish expectations shift based on which party holds the White House. Right now, Republican optimism is surging, while Democrat sentiment has collapsed to panic levels. I’m not here to debate politics—but I am here to help you understand how this emotional bias warps market data. In today’s Insight, I break down what this means for smart investors (and how to use it to your advantage).

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What I See Coming Next for the Market

Hey, Ross here! Yesterday’s market action told a clear story—steady gains in the morning, followed by a sharp reversal after Trump’s fiery message about Iran. The selloff pushed major indexes down nearly 1%, and with Powell speaking today, we could see more volatility ahead. Meanwhile, retail investors have quietly been selling for three weeks straight. In today’s Insight, I break down what this shift means—and where I think we’re headed next.

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This is Signaling More Gains Ahead

Hey, Ross here! I just pulled a chart that compares investor sentiment to how close the S&P 500 is to all-time highs—and the gap right now is striking. Historically, when we’re this close to new highs, the bulls dominate. But not this time. Sentiment is dragging far behind the market, and that creates opportunity. In today’s Insight, I’ll break down what this disconnect means—and how I’m playing it.

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Don’t Get Scared Out of the Market

Hey, Ross here! I’ve gone back through decades of data to see how the S&P 500 performed after major geopolitical shocks – everything from Pearl Harbor to Brexit. What I found was clear: markets usually bounce back quickly, unless there’s a bigger economic crisis at play. And right now, I don’t see one. In today’s Insight, I’ll show you why history says stay the course and ignore the fear.

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Major Opportunity Window Just Opened

Hey, Ross here! Retail bulls are finally outnumbering the bears—but they’re late to the party. The market’s been flashing strength for weeks. Now, institutional risk appetite is recovering too, though it’s still far from peak levels. Add in some geopolitical jitters from the Middle East, and we could see a short-term dip in sentiment. But I see that as a buying opportunity. In today’s Insight, I’ll show you why the real move may still be ahead.

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The Bears are in Retreat

Hey, Ross here! Investor sentiment is finally starting to catch up with price action. The latest AAII survey shows bears in retreat after months of dominance. Even with a slight market dip yesterday, optimism is building—fueled by strong breakouts, better-than-expected inflation data, and renewed China trade hopes. But here’s the key: sentiment is only just flipping now… after the rally. That confirms what I’ve been saying all along. I dig into the full story in today’s Insight.

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The Fate of the “Average” Stock

Hey, Ross here! The S&P 500 may be charging toward all-time highs—but under the surface, the average stock is barely moving. Year-to-date, the average S&P name has gained just 1.8%. Some sectors, like communication services, are outperforming… while others, like energy, are lagging badly. This kind of divergence creates opportunity—if you know where to look. In today’s Insight, I break down what this means for smart investors.

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Another Big Divergence Happening Now

Hey, Ross here! Lately, I’ve noticed a growing gap between how people feel about the economy and what the numbers actually show. Headlines scream recession, but the hard data keeps beating expectations. This kind of disconnect—where sentiment sinks while real performance stays strong—is exactly the kind of setup I look for. Let me show you how we can turn this divergence into opportunity.

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Where Will the Money Come From?

Hey, Ross here! I just reviewed the data on how each sector performed during the tariff-driven selloff—and more importantly, how far they still need to climb to reach new highs. Some are nearly there, but others have serious ground to cover. With institutional investors finally flipping back to “risk on,” this setup could fuel a broad rally. In today’s Insight, I break down where the biggest opportunities may be.

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A Headline-Driven Opportunity

Hey, Ross here! Even with the market just shy of all-time highs and financial conditions loosening, retail investors still lean bearish. This week’s AAII sentiment survey shows the bears outnumbering the bulls yet again. But as I explain in today’s Insight, that disconnect between sentiment and reality is exactly what creates opportunity—and why I believe the smart money is quietly positioning for what’s coming next.

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