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Is the Market “Overvalued”? (The Truth)

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows how many of the 30 largest stocks in the S&P 500 now were already in the top 30 years ago. Rewinding just 10 years, only about half were in that league back then. While some market leaders stay dominant for a long time, many underestimate how fast leadership changes. To target emerging market leaders, we must ask the right questions. I explain more in the Insight of the Day.

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The One Thing That Creates Market Leaders

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows how many of the 30 largest stocks in the S&P 500 now were already in the top 30 years ago. Rewinding just 10 years, only about half were in that league back then. While some market leaders stay dominant for a long time, many underestimate how fast leadership changes. To target emerging market leaders, we must ask the right questions. I explain more in the Insight of the Day.

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Target These Types of Market Leaders for Maximum Gains

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows the returns of the current 10 largest stocks both before and after they joined the top 10. Nearly all of their outperformance came before they reached the top. After joining, their returns were lackluster. Their biggest gains came from their journey to becoming market leaders. What does this mean for us as traders? I explain in the Insight of the Day below.

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Where to Focus Your Trades in This Market

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. These charts show the relative performance of various indexes over time, like currency pairs but with indexes. Here’s what they reveal: the S&P 500 is outpacing global indexes, U.S. large-caps are beating small-caps, and in small caps, growth stocks are leading value. This insight helps us focus our efforts. It certainly doesn’t mean we should sit out this bull market.

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How to Play the Narrow Bull Market

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Even as the Nasdaq hits new highs, nearly half of the stocks trade below their 200-day moving averages. The number of advancing stocks versus declining ones is also weakening. This classic divergence means the market climbs higher with less participation. That’s why the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are at all-time highs while the Russell 2000 lags. This isn’t a bearish signal, but it does mean market strength comes from a select group of stocks. And that has obvious implications on our trading strategy.

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How Long Can the Market Keep This Up?

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows the net new highs over lows for stocks in the Russell 3000 Index – covering over 95% of the U.S. investable stock universe – across one, three, six, and 12-month time frames. You can see that net new highs have outpaced new lows in all these periods. Plus, the shorter the time frame, the bigger the number of net new highs, suggesting increasing bullish momentum. Don’t let the bears sway you. Keep playing the bull market.

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Is Bullish Momentum Fading? (The Truth)

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows the net new highs over lows for stocks in the Russell 3000 Index – covering over 95% of the U.S. investable stock universe – across one, three, six, and 12-month time frames. You can see that net new highs have outpaced new lows in all these periods. Plus, the shorter the time frame, the bigger the number of net new highs, suggesting increasing bullish momentum. Don’t let the bears sway you. Keep playing the bull market.

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Do This Even if the Market Falls Today

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows the Volatility Index, which has remained very calm leading up to today’s CPI data and Fed meeting results. We might see a big spike in volatility after today, and stocks could fall. But even if that happens, stay calm. Skilled traders know the difference between calamity and opportunity. I explain more in the Insight of the Day.

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Is the Market About to Top Out? (Actual Data)

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows how many times the S&P 500 has topped out each month since 1980. Remarkably, it has never topped out in June—not even once in 44 years. Of course, there’s a first time for everything, but I wouldn’t bet on the market topping out in June. And you probably shouldn’t either.

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My Favorite Kind of Uptrend

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. This chart shows how the S&P 500 has moved since November last year, with the percentage increases of each “mini uptrend” clearly marked. You’ll notice that most of these “mini uptrends” overlap due to minor pullbacks in between. This highlights two key points: pullbacks are inevitable even in strong uptrends, and the overall uptrend remains robust. Don’t let fear or bearish influences cause you to miss out. I explain more in the Insight of the Day.

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