stocks

Hey, Ross here! This week’s AAII sentiment survey shows individual investors are at their most bearish since November 2023—right before the market surged. History tells us that when bearish sentiment peaks, it’s often a bullish signal. Of course, nothing is guaranteed, but when you pair this with two other compelling factors I outline below, the odds start to look very much in your favor. Don’t miss this opportunity—I explain why in today’s Insight.

Hey, Ross here! This week’s AAII sentiment survey shows individual investors are at their most bearish since November 2023—right before the market surged. History tells us that when bearish sentiment peaks, it’s often a bullish signal. Of course, nothing is guaranteed, but when you pair this with two other compelling factors I outline below, the odds start to look very much in your favor. Don’t miss this opportunity—I explain why in today’s Insight.

Hey, Ross here! The relationship between the 10-year Treasury yield and the stock market has been intriguing during this bull market. Typically, higher yields mean lower stock prices—and lately, that’s held true. But yesterday brought a twist: the largest drop in 10-year yields since December 2023. This could signal a turning point, especially with short positions in Treasury bonds at record highs. If yields keep falling, those shorts could fuel an even steeper decline—great news for stocks. I unpack the implications in today’s Insight.

Hey, Ross here! Earnings season is here, and the data tells a compelling story. This chart highlights the S&P 500’s estimated quarterly earnings versus actual results, and the trend is clear: actual earnings usually outperform estimates—even during tough markets like 2022. With fourth-quarter earnings growth estimated at 11.7%, the real numbers could be even better. Despite recent market turbulence, these fundamentals remain strong. Don’t let short-term noise shake you out—stay in the game, but do it

Hey, Ross here! The S&P 500 has slipped below a key support level for the first time since the election, raising questions about where the market heads next. While it could easily bounce back, the lowest percentage of stocks above their 50-day moving averages since April signals caution. With inflation data on the horizon, the next few days will be pivotal. My counterintuitive approach to navigating this uncertainty? I lay it all out in today’s Insight.

Hey, Ross here! Bearish sentiment among individual investors hit 37.4% last Wednesday, a level we haven’t seen since October 2023—just before a massive market rally. This pattern of rebounds following peak bearishness has been a hallmark of this bull market. There are no guarantees, but as I mentioned yesterday, a swift recovery could be in the cards. The big question: is now the moment to act? I dive into the details in today’s Insight.

Hey, Ross here! Investor sentiment, as shown in this chart, is sitting near the lower end of its typical bull market range. Historically, this has been a precursor to significant rallies—just like the explosive one we saw in November 2023. But before you get too excited, there’s an important caveat to consider. I break it all down in today’s Insight of the Day.

Hey, Ross here! The S&P 500 is looking more top-heavy than it has in over a decade, and this chart makes it crystal clear. The ratio between the Equal-Weighted S&P 500 Index (RSP) and the regular S&P 500 shows just how much the largest companies dominate right now. But here’s the good news: we’ve been here before, and it hasn’t stopped us from making profits. Don’t let the chatter about “weak participation” scare you off. This rebound still holds opportunity—I explain why in today’s Insight.

Hey, Ross here! The S&P 500 is looking more top-heavy than it has in over a decade, and this chart makes it crystal clear. The ratio between the Equal-Weighted S&P 500 Index (RSP) and the regular S&P 500 shows just how much the largest companies dominate right now. But here’s the good news: we’ve been here before, and it hasn’t stopped us from making profits. Don’t let the chatter about “weak participation” scare you off. This rebound still holds opportunity—I explain why in today’s Insight.

Hey, Ross here! The S&P 500 just broke through not one, but two bearish “head-and-shoulders” patterns. The first pattern failed to deliver its bearish signal, and now the second has followed suit—suggesting positive momentum may be returning. While it’s too early to declare a full reversal, the signs are promising. That said, I’m still watching key concerns, like weak participation and the need for a broader rebound. Despite these challenges, this market still offers plenty of opportunity. Let me explain more.