How to Play the Narrow Bull Market

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Even as the Nasdaq hits new highs, nearly half of the stocks trade below their 200-day moving averages. The number of advancing stocks versus declining ones is also weakening. This classic divergence means the market climbs higher with less participation. That’s why the S&P 500 and Nasdaq are at all-time highs while the Russell 2000 lags. This isn’t a bearish signal, but it does mean market strength comes from a select group of stocks. And that has obvious implications on our trading strategy.

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How Long Can the Market Keep This Up?

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows the net new highs over lows for stocks in the Russell 3000 Index – covering over 95% of the U.S. investable stock universe – across one, three, six, and 12-month time frames. You can see that net new highs have outpaced new lows in all these periods. Plus, the shorter the time frame, the bigger the number of net new highs, suggesting increasing bullish momentum. Don’t let the bears sway you. Keep playing the bull market.

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Is Bullish Momentum Fading? (The Truth)

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows the net new highs over lows for stocks in the Russell 3000 Index – covering over 95% of the U.S. investable stock universe – across one, three, six, and 12-month time frames. You can see that net new highs have outpaced new lows in all these periods. Plus, the shorter the time frame, the bigger the number of net new highs, suggesting increasing bullish momentum. Don’t let the bears sway you. Keep playing the bull market.

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Do This Even if the Market Falls Today

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows the Volatility Index, which has remained very calm leading up to today’s CPI data and Fed meeting results. We might see a big spike in volatility after today, and stocks could fall. But even if that happens, stay calm. Skilled traders know the difference between calamity and opportunity. I explain more in the Insight of the Day.

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Is the Market About to Top Out? (Actual Data)

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows how many times the S&P 500 has topped out each month since 1980. Remarkably, it has never topped out in June—not even once in 44 years. Of course, there’s a first time for everything, but I wouldn’t bet on the market topping out in June. And you probably shouldn’t either.

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My Favorite Kind of Uptrend

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. This chart shows how the S&P 500 has moved since November last year, with the percentage increases of each “mini uptrend” clearly marked. You’ll notice that most of these “mini uptrends” overlap due to minor pullbacks in between. This highlights two key points: pullbacks are inevitable even in strong uptrends, and the overall uptrend remains robust. Don’t let fear or bearish influences cause you to miss out. I explain more in the Insight of the Day.

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Incoming “Wall of Money” for the Stock Market?

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. This chart shows the S&P 500’s average 2-week return for the first and second halves of each month, using data from 1928 to today. It reveals a lot about seasonal patterns in the stock market, highlighting that the first two weeks of June and July are typically strong. Plus, with $6 trillion sitting in money market funds, there’s a “wall of money” ready to fuel explosive stock gains. Don’t waste this opportunity. I explain more in the Insight of the Day.

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“Scared” by New All-Time Highs?

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. This chart shows how often the S&P 500 hits all-time highs each year, dating back to 1950. So far in 2024, the S&P 500 has hit new all-time highs 25 times – above average but not extreme. Other years have seen three times as many. Remember, there were zero all-time highs in 2023. The US stock market has consistently built wealth and it’s normal for it to hit new highs. Instead of worrying, focus on spotting opportunities. I explain more in the Insight of the Day.

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This Signals More Stock Gains Ahead

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. This chart shows the correlation between the price of crude oil and the US 10-year Treasury yield. As the chart highlights, they’re strongly correlated. Right now, crude oil prices are dipping heavily, which suggests yields will follow. Since yields are inversely correlated to stocks, falling yields likely mean rising stocks. This is something we can definitely take advantage of. I explain how in the Insight of the Day.

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The Sector Rotation Opportunity

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. This is the Invesco Solar ETF, tracking a basket of solar energy stocks. Since the end of April, it’s surged over 20%—outperforming the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq by a wide margin. I’m seeing similar strength in sectors like shipping. Yet, many still complain about market “weakness.” What’s really happening here? I explain in the Insight of the Day.

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