The Hidden Dangers of Nvidia

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Exploring the market’s recent dynamics reveals a notable shift in sector performance. Energy, once a laggard in 2023, is now leading the pack, while technology, typically a stronghold, is showing signs of weakness. However, the key takeaway isn’t a straightforward shift from tech to energy. Join me in the Insight of the Day to understand the nuances and identify strategic moves in response to these evolving sector dynamics.

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There’s Always Fuel for the Next Rally

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Market sentiment, often overlooked, plays a crucial role. The AAII sentiment survey reveals a recent dip in bullish sentiment and a corresponding increase in bearish sentiment. While this signals a potential pullback or pause, it’s crucial to note that absolute bullish sentiment remains higher than late January. This insight sheds light on the market’s likely trajectory—a temporary setback before a stronger breakout. Learn more about the intricate relationship between sentiment and market movements in today’s Insight.

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Market Sentiment Check Reveals Opportunities

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Market sentiment, often overlooked, plays a crucial role. The AAII sentiment survey reveals a recent dip in bullish sentiment and a corresponding increase in bearish sentiment. While this signals a potential pullback or pause, it’s crucial to note that absolute bullish sentiment remains higher than late January. This insight sheds light on the market’s likely trajectory—a temporary setback before a stronger breakout. Learn more about the intricate relationship between sentiment and market movements in today’s Insight.

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Here’s How You Spot the Tops (Critical Lesson)

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Spotting climactic tops is crucial in trading, and Super Micro Computer (SMCI) exemplifies the signs. Surging over 300% since November, SMCI’s chart displays a classic breakout pattern. However, identifying a climactic top involves more than just recognizing breakouts. Consecutive exhaustion gaps followed by a substantial negative day, like SMCI’s recent 20% drop, indicate exhausted bullish momentum, signaling the time to exit the trade. Learn how to read these signals and distinguish climactic tops in today’s Insight.

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Not Doing This Carries Heavy Costs

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Examining the ‘Valentine’s Day Indicator,’ I’ve gathered data on the S&P 500’s performance for the remainder of the year when it’s up over 4% YTD on Valentine’s Day. Out of 28 instances, only two years saw the market close the year down. On average, the market surged 13.3% for the rest of the year in these cases. While it’s not a foolproof predictor, historical trends suggest a favorable outlook. Find out more in today’s Insight.

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History is On Our Side (Again)

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Examining the ‘Valentine’s Day Indicator,’ I’ve gathered data on the S&P 500’s performance for the remainder of the year when it’s up over 4% YTD on Valentine’s Day. Out of 28 instances, only two years saw the market close the year down. On average, the market surged 13.3% for the rest of the year in these cases. While it’s not a foolproof predictor, historical trends suggest a favorable outlook. Find out more in today’s Insight.

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The Pullback We’ve Been Waiting For?

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. The market’s sharp decline post the unexpected rise in inflation is the steepest since September 2022. Many traders anticipated early rate cuts from the Fed, and yesterday’s inflation data defied those expectations. If you’ve been following this newsletter, this outcome shouldn’t catch you off guard. In today’s Insight, I delve into the reasons behind this market move and why, instead of concern, you might find cause for gratitude.

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Small-Caps Breaking Out? (Here’s What to Do)

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. While major indexes still grapple with record highs, the Russell 2000, often overlooked, has surged nearly 5% in just three days. This ascent surpasses the S&P 500’s 2024 performance. Breaking through 18-month resistance, the small-cap index might surpass its recent high. Unlike large-cap counterparts, small-caps present a unique opportunity. Join me in today’s Insight to explore why I see potential in small-cap stocks amid the broader market landscape.

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Market Correction Incoming? Good.

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. n the past six weeks, the S&P 500 has surged by 5%, a substantial rally. However, a closer look reveals an unexpected divergence – fewer stocks are trading above their 200-day and 50-day moving averages. This contrast raises cautionary flags despite the broader market’s all-time highs. While I don’t foresee an imminent bear market, a pullback or pause seems due after the rapid ascent. Join me in today’s Insight as we navigate the current market dynamics and prepare for potential shifts.

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Most Traders Have Zero Clue How to Do This

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. After a combined net outflow of over $15 billion in US equity funds for the first three weeks of January, the final week witnessed a robust net inflow of $5.9 billion. Sustained or increased inflows could fuel the ongoing rally, while a reversal might hint at an impending correction. However, amidst these dynamics, a significant source of opportunities demands attention—one that won’t be available for much longer. Discover more in today’s Insight.

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