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What’s Beneath the Hood of This Bull Market?

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows how various sectors – as measured by their respective ETFs – performed over the second quarter. As you can see, the divergence is still very much in play. Over half of the sectors posted negative returns for the quarter, even though the S&P 500 was up over 4%. Only three sectors outperformed the broad S&P 500 index: tech, utilities, and communication services. This divergence is likely to continue. What does that mean for us traders? I explain in today’s insight.

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The Biggest Market Danger Right Now?

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows the S&P 500 with Kolanovic’s previous predictions mapped out on the index. As you can clearly see, following his predictions would have been disastrous for your financial health. You would have bought in before big declines and sold before rapid surges, leading to severe underperformance. Don’t trust these Wall Street talking heads – use them instead.

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What the Market Has in Store for the Second Half

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows the S&P 500’s average monthly performance for the past 10 years. The S&P 500 has been up in July 90% of the time, with an average return of 3.1%. Is this a guarantee the market will go up in July? Of course not. But it does mean the odds are on our side. Make sure to take advantage of it.

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July Surge Incoming? (Actual Data)

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows the S&P 500’s average monthly performance for the past 10 years. The S&P 500 has been up in July 90% of the time, with an average return of 3.1%. Is this a guarantee the market will go up in July? Of course not. But it does mean the odds are on our side. Make sure to take advantage of it.

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Expect This for the Rest of June

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows how the S&P 500 has moved on average during June for the past 73 years. As you can see, weakness in the second half of June is the norm, and 2024 is following the same pattern. The market typically starts moving upward again in July. This means that the remaining trading days of June – even if weak – are actually an opportunity for savvy traders.

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Lessons from Nvidia’s $350B Wipeout

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows how NVDA has moved over the past five days. Despite yesterday’s nearly 7% recovery, the stock is still down 10% from its intraday peak last Thursday, wiping out about $350 billion in market value. I’m not predicting a crash, but I wouldn’t be surprised if NVDA starts losing some of its dominance – and you shouldn’t be either. As I explain in the Insight of the Day, this might actually be a good thing.

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A $27 Trillion Breakout?

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows the Bloomberg US Treasury Index over the past year. Typically, US stocks and Treasuries move inversely, but for the past two years, they’ve been moving in tandem. Treasuries are recovering strongly and look ready to break past last year’s peak resistance level. Traders are betting on rate cuts after the recent inflation data, despite Powell’s statements. There’s still plenty of opportunity left in this market.

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Breadth Breakout on the Horizon?

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows the Equal-Weight S&P 500 index – showing how the S&P 500 looks if every stock has equal weight, not by market cap. This cancels out the effect of dominant market leaders, providing a better gauge of market breadth. The chart shows a bullish wedge pattern forming, signaling a potential breakout higher. With the regular S&P 500 also rising, this rally appears to have real legs.

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Is the Market “Overvalued”? (The Truth)

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows how many of the 30 largest stocks in the S&P 500 now were already in the top 30 years ago. Rewinding just 10 years, only about half were in that league back then. While some market leaders stay dominant for a long time, many underestimate how fast leadership changes. To target emerging market leaders, we must ask the right questions. I explain more in the Insight of the Day.

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The One Thing That Creates Market Leaders

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Today’s chart shows how many of the 30 largest stocks in the S&P 500 now were already in the top 30 years ago. Rewinding just 10 years, only about half were in that league back then. While some market leaders stay dominant for a long time, many underestimate how fast leadership changes. To target emerging market leaders, we must ask the right questions. I explain more in the Insight of the Day.

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