I Warned You It Would be Choppy
Hey, Ross Givens here! Analysts are slashing earnings estimates left and right—and with all the tariff uncertainty, I wouldn’t be surprised if that continues. But here’s the thing: markets usually bottom before earnings or GDP recover. That means if you wait for clear skies, you’ll miss the move. We’re still in a volatile stretch, and I don’t expect new highs soon… but smart positioning starts before the headlines turn. I explain more in today’s Insight.
Breakout Season Soon?
Hey, Ross Givens here! Just last week, the VIX closed above 50. Now it’s near 30. That kind of drop has only happened four times in history—and every time, it marked the end of a bear market. I’m not saying we’re out of the woods yet, but the evidence keeps stacking up that the low is likely in. That means it’s time to start hunting breakout setups. I dive into the details in today’s Insight.
Still Too Early to Celebrate
Hey, Ross Givens here! I’ve been watching this chart closely—it shows the Nasdaq on top and the net new highs vs. lows underneath. Even though the number of new lows is easing up, we’re still not seeing enough strength from the bulls yet. Until that shifts, I’m staying selective with my long exposure. In today’s Insight, I break down exactly how I’m navigating this kind of market.
Proof the Low Could Already be In
Hey, Ross Givens here! Consumer sentiment just hit its second-lowest level since 1952, according to the latest University of Michigan survey. You’d think that would tank the market—but instead, the S&P 500 and Nasdaq both rallied nearly 2%. This time, it’s not about rate cuts. It’s something bigger. I break down what this reversal could mean—and why I’m not rushing in headfirst—in today’s Insight.
What to Expect in the Markets
Hey, Ross Givens here! This chart tracks 5-day volatility in the S&P 500—and right now, it’s off the charts. The only times we’ve seen bigger swings were during Black Monday, the Global Financial Crisis, and Covid. I don’t expect that to calm down anytime soon… and you shouldn’t either. But that doesn’t mean we sit on our hands. In today’s Insight, I share how I’m using this volatility to my advantage.
Relief Rally or Fakeout?
Hey, Ross Givens here! Today’s chart focuses on the US 10-year Treasury yield—one of the most important forces behind market direction right now. Yields dropped after Liberation Day but spiked again once retaliatory tariffs were announced. That kind of pressure could be why Trump paused the tariffs… for now. But with the situation shifting so fast, the big question is whether this rally is real—or just another fakeout. I break it all down in today’s Insight.
The Chop Continues
Hey, Ross Givens here! Since Liberation Day, stock markets around the globe have taken a hit—and this chart makes it clear. Every major country ETF is in the red, and surprisingly, the U.S. isn’t even the worst performer. Right now, there’s nowhere to hide if you’re a stock investor. So what should you actually do in this kind of market? I break it down in today’s Insight.
Nowhere to Hide (Except Here)
Hey, Ross Givens here! Since Liberation Day, stock markets around the globe have taken a hit—and this chart makes it clear. Every major country ETF is in the red, and surprisingly, the U.S. isn’t even the worst performer. Right now, there’s nowhere to hide if you’re a stock investor. So what should you actually do in this kind of market? I break it down in today’s Insight.
A Reckless Bear Market
Hey, Ross Givens here! The VIX just hit levels we haven’t seen since the Covid crash—and that was a once-in-a-century pandemic. This time, the setup looks completely different. I’m not sugarcoating it—this market is rough. But I see two major bright spots that could mark a turning point. One of them is buried in the data… the other could flip the market fast. I explain both in today’s Insight.
Welcome to the Suck
Hey, Ross Givens here! Bearish sentiment just hit an extreme. According to the latest AAII survey, 62% of investors feel bearish—nearly triple the number of bulls. That kind of fear has only shown up twice before: March 2009 and October 1990. The last time it even came close was late September 2022… right before the bull market began. In today’s Insight, I break down what this means—and why extreme pessimism can often be a powerful contrarian signal.
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