Impending Recession?

Hey, Ross Givens here! If a recession were looming, you’d expect S&P 500 companies to be sounding the alarm on their earnings calls. But that’s not happening. In fact, mentions of “recession” are at their lowest levels in years. That doesn’t mean a downturn is impossible, but it does tell us that the companies driving the economy aren’t worried. Don’t let the fear-mongering headlines distract you—I break it all down in today’s Insight.

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Zoom Out and Look at This

Hey, Ross Givens here! Market pullbacks happen every year—it’s just part of the game. This chart tracks the S&P 500’s largest annual pullbacks since 1980, and guess what? The current dip in 2025 isn’t unusual at all. In fact, it’s in line with last year’s and much smaller than 2023’s. The key takeaway? Zoom out, keep perspective, and don’t let short-term noise shake you out of good trades. I break it all down in today’s Insight.

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The Truth About This “Market Panic”

Hey, Ross Givens here! Market breadth is weakening—no doubt about it. But before you buy into the crash headlines, consider this: during the August–October 2023 pullback, the percentage of stocks above their 200-day moving averages dropped even lower, below 24%. We’re not there yet. I’m not saying everything is fine, but the panic? Way overdone. Here’s what the data actually tells us.

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Gear Up for This Market Event

Hey, Ross Givens here! JPMorgan’s latest chart highlights past momentum reversals, and their analysis suggests last week’s selloff was already 90% complete. Historically, this kind of setup leads to a bounce as investors recognize the market is oversold. Nothing is certain—but if the pattern holds, we could be on the verge of a rebound. Here’s what I’m watching next.

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My Current Plan for this Market

Hey, Ross Givens here! The S&P 500 has officially entered my buy zone—but do I feel like buying? Not at all. And that’s exactly why I’m doing it. As legendary technician Walter Deemer said, “When the time comes to buy, you won’t want to.” It’s human nature to hesitate when fear runs high, but good trading means pushing past that. Even I struggle with it. But I’m sticking to the plan and adding to my long-term positions. Here’s why.

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Is the Tech Sector Poised for a Comeback?

Hey, Ross Givens here! The Put/Call ratio just spiked above 1 again—a level that typically signals fear in the market. But here’s the twist: historically, when this happens, it actually marks a short-term bottom. We saw it in April and August 2024, both times leading to strong rebounds. Could this be another buying opportunity? The odds suggest it might be. I break it all down in today’s Insight.

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Has the Market Already Bottomed?

Hey, Ross Givens here! The Put/Call ratio just spiked above 1 again—a level that typically signals fear in the market. But here’s the twist: historically, when this happens, it actually marks a short-term bottom. We saw it in April and August 2024, both times leading to strong rebounds. Could this be another buying opportunity? The odds suggest it might be. I break it all down in today’s Insight.

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Could You Have Predicted the Selloff?

Hey, Ross Givens here! Institutional investors and individual traders are moving in opposite directions again. Today’s chart shows retail bullishness dropping while institutional confidence holds steady. At the same time, retail bearishness is spiking, but institutional pessimism is fading. This kind of divergence doesn’t happen often—and when it does, it usually presents a major opportunity. The question is, which side is right this time? I break it all down in today’s Insight.

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It’s Happening Again

Hey, Ross Givens here! Institutional investors and individual traders are moving in opposite directions again. Today’s chart shows retail bullishness dropping while institutional confidence holds steady. At the same time, retail bearishness is spiking, but institutional pessimism is fading. This kind of divergence doesn’t happen often—and when it does, it usually presents a major opportunity. The question is, which side is right this time? I break it all down in today’s Insight.

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Don’t be Surprised If This Happens in March

Hey, Ross Givens here! March market trends follow a clear pattern. Historically, fund flows into the S&P 500 are weak in the first half of the month—often leading to choppy markets and deeper pullbacks. But that changes in the back half, when inflows surge. This isn’t a guarantee, but it’s a strong probability. So if the market keeps dipping in the coming weeks, don’t panic—expect it. In fact, I’m already eyeing key buy zones to take advantage of the pullback. I break it all down in today’s Insight.

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