Relief Rally or Fakeout?

Hey, Ross Givens here! Today’s chart focuses on the US 10-year Treasury yield—one of the most important forces behind market direction right now. Yields dropped after Liberation Day but spiked again once retaliatory tariffs were announced. That kind of pressure could be why Trump paused the tariffs… for now. But with the situation shifting so fast, the big question is whether this rally is real—or just another fakeout. I break it all down in today’s Insight.

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The Chop Continues

Hey, Ross Givens here! Since Liberation Day, stock markets around the globe have taken a hit—and this chart makes it clear. Every major country ETF is in the red, and surprisingly, the U.S. isn’t even the worst performer. Right now, there’s nowhere to hide if you’re a stock investor. So what should you actually do in this kind of market? I break it down in today’s Insight.

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Nowhere to Hide (Except Here)

Hey, Ross Givens here! Since Liberation Day, stock markets around the globe have taken a hit—and this chart makes it clear. Every major country ETF is in the red, and surprisingly, the U.S. isn’t even the worst performer. Right now, there’s nowhere to hide if you’re a stock investor. So what should you actually do in this kind of market? I break it down in today’s Insight.

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A Reckless Bear Market

Hey, Ross Givens here! The VIX just hit levels we haven’t seen since the Covid crash—and that was a once-in-a-century pandemic. This time, the setup looks completely different. I’m not sugarcoating it—this market is rough. But I see two major bright spots that could mark a turning point. One of them is buried in the data… the other could flip the market fast. I explain both in today’s Insight.

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Welcome to the Suck

Hey, Ross Givens here! Bearish sentiment just hit an extreme. According to the latest AAII survey, 62% of investors feel bearish—nearly triple the number of bulls. That kind of fear has only shown up twice before: March 2009 and October 1990. The last time it even came close was late September 2022… right before the bull market began. In today’s Insight, I break down what this means—and why extreme pessimism can often be a powerful contrarian signal.

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The Truth Behind Trump’s Tariff Tactics

Hey, Ross Givens here! As I write this, S&P 500 and Nasdaq-100 futures are deep in the red—down 3.6% and 3.9%, respectively. They’ve clawed back a bit, but let’s be real… more short-term pain is the most likely scenario. I’d be shocked if markets finish the week higher. The silver lining? The sharper the selloff, the stronger the eventual rebound—especially once Trump’s tariff tactics play out. In today’s Insight, I break down what to expect next and how to stay ahead of the recovery.

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What the 2025 Selloff Actually Reminds Me Of

Hey, Ross Givens here! 2025 feels a lot like 2018—a sharp market pullback fueled by tariff uncertainty, a stubborn Fed, and a media eager to amplify the noise. Back then, the Nasdaq dropped over 20%, only to snap back in a powerful rebound. I see the same setup playing out now. We’re in a correction, not a crisis, and these moments often present some of the best opportunities. When the recovery starts, it’ll be fast—leaving most traders scrambling. In today’s Insight, I break down how to position yourself before that happens.

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Proof that Traders are Overreacting

Hey, Ross Givens here! Bearish sentiment just hit extreme levels—higher than during the Covid Crash and the Global Financial Crisis. Yet, the S&P 500 is down less than 10%, and the Nasdaq less than 15%. This isn’t a full-blown meltdown, but you wouldn’t know it from investor reactions. Yes, the market looks rough, and a quick recovery isn’t likely. But when it does turn, most traders will be caught off guard. These tariff threats? Likely just a negotiation tactic. I break down how to navigate this market while staying positioned for the rebound in today’s Insight.

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Smart Moves in an Ugly Market

Hey, Ross Givens here! There’s a massive pile of cash sitting in money market funds—waiting for the right moment to move. Even if a small portion of that capital flows into stocks, it could ignite a strong rally. The market looks rough right now, so I’m not expecting an immediate turnaround. But when it happens, it’ll likely be faster than most expect. The key question is: what should we be doing in the meantime? I break it down in today’s Insight.

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Contrarian Buying Signal

Hey, Ross Givens here! Today’s chart breaks down the year-to-date performance of the S&P 500’s sectors—and despite recent volatility, the majority are still in the green. Out of 11 sectors, 9 remain positive, proving that strength still exists beneath the surface. Watching the indexes is important, but if that’s all you focus on, you’ll miss the real opportunities. I break it all down in today’s Insight.

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