History is On Our Side (Again)

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Examining the ‘Valentine’s Day Indicator,’ I’ve gathered data on the S&P 500’s performance for the remainder of the year when it’s up over 4% YTD on Valentine’s Day. Out of 28 instances, only two years saw the market close the year down. On average, the market surged 13.3% for the rest of the year in these cases. While it’s not a foolproof predictor, historical trends suggest a favorable outlook. Find out more in today’s Insight.

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The Pullback We’ve Been Waiting For?

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. The market’s sharp decline post the unexpected rise in inflation is the steepest since September 2022. Many traders anticipated early rate cuts from the Fed, and yesterday’s inflation data defied those expectations. If you’ve been following this newsletter, this outcome shouldn’t catch you off guard. In today’s Insight, I delve into the reasons behind this market move and why, instead of concern, you might find cause for gratitude.

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Small-Caps Breaking Out? (Here’s What to Do)

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. While major indexes still grapple with record highs, the Russell 2000, often overlooked, has surged nearly 5% in just three days. This ascent surpasses the S&P 500’s 2024 performance. Breaking through 18-month resistance, the small-cap index might surpass its recent high. Unlike large-cap counterparts, small-caps present a unique opportunity. Join me in today’s Insight to explore why I see potential in small-cap stocks amid the broader market landscape.

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Market Correction Incoming? Good.

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. n the past six weeks, the S&P 500 has surged by 5%, a substantial rally. However, a closer look reveals an unexpected divergence – fewer stocks are trading above their 200-day and 50-day moving averages. This contrast raises cautionary flags despite the broader market’s all-time highs. While I don’t foresee an imminent bear market, a pullback or pause seems due after the rapid ascent. Join me in today’s Insight as we navigate the current market dynamics and prepare for potential shifts.

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Most Traders Have Zero Clue How to Do This

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. After a combined net outflow of over $15 billion in US equity funds for the first three weeks of January, the final week witnessed a robust net inflow of $5.9 billion. Sustained or increased inflows could fuel the ongoing rally, while a reversal might hint at an impending correction. However, amidst these dynamics, a significant source of opportunities demands attention—one that won’t be available for much longer. Discover more in today’s Insight.

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Market Divergence Warning

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. With over 50% of stocks below their 50-day moving averages and more than 55% beneath the 20-day moving average, market breadth raises caution flags. Despite this, the S&P 500 continues to hit record highs, signaling a divergence. Brace for a potential short-term market pullback. However, divergences can also present opportunities, and I delve into the positive aspects in today’s Insight.

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The Harsh Reality About “S&P 5000”

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Watch out for a potential breakout in the 10-year US Treasury yield, historically correlated inversely with stocks. If it surges, brace for a stock rally resistance, possibly triggering a sustained pullback. With the S&P 500 eyeing the psychological 5,000 mark, this resistance adds complexity. While the rally might temporarily stall, there’s an ongoing opportunity to seize. Learn how to navigate this dynamic market in the Insight of the Day.

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The Two Sides of Every Market “Surprise”

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Decode the recent two-day surge in the US Dollar Index, often inversely correlated with the stock market. While a brief uptick doesn’t signal a definitive trend, the potential breakout suggests a temporary stock pullback. In the Insight of the Day, explore the implications and gain insights to position yourself advantageously in this evolving market scenario.

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The Truth About Big Tech’s Effect on the Market

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Explore the Equal-Weight S&P 500 Index, a revealing gauge of market dynamics. While Big Tech often steers the S&P 500, this index, which equalizes the weight of all 500 stocks, tells a different story. Despite not replicating the recent surge of the S&P 500, it maintains a steady climb, reaching 21-month highs. In the full article, discover the hidden patterns in this often overlooked index and why it’s a key piece of the larger market narrative that many may be missing.

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Weird Chart Signals More Gains Ahead?

Hey, it’s Ross Givens here with the Chart of the Day. Examining the 10-year Treasury yield this week reveals a notable departure from its typical negative correlation with the stock market. Powell’s words at the Fed meeting triggered a stock decline, but the yield surprisingly fell about 10 basis points, hinting at potential signals for a significant upward market move once the Fed’s message is fully digested. Stay tuned for insights on navigating this unique market dynamic in today’s full article.

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