Hey, Ross here:
Markets are likely going to open significantly lower today on the back thanks to Israel’s surprise strike on Iran.
Sentiment will be impacted.
But as I explain below – that may be a good thing.
Chart of the Day
Yesterday, I shared this chart showing that – based on the weekly survey by the American Association of Individual Investors – the retail bulls are finally outpacing the bears.
This was clearly lagging the market, considering the textbook constructive price action we’ve been seeing.
That’s the retail side.
On the institutional side, well, take a look.
This chart is sourced from the S&P’s Investment Managers Index, which is created based on the surveys of active fund managers at institutional investment firms.
As you can see, while risk appetite has recovered – it’s still nowhere near the highs seen during this bull market.
And with the recent escalation in the Middle East, I wouldn’t be surprised if risk appetite – both retail and institutional – takes a near-term dip.
I consider that an opportunity. I explain why below.
Insight of the Day
The more politicized the issue, the more extreme the sentiment swings.
The narrative around Israel has always been politically charged.
With this escalation, it will only become more so.
And the more charged the narrative, the more exaggerated the market reaction.
Couple this with how far behind sentiment is lagging price action this time around…
And that means any near-term dip is likely to be exaggerated.
In markets, exaggerated moves create opportunities.
This new conflict has only just started to play out.
Uncertainty is at its peak, because no one knows how any retaliation will play out yet.
That is when you want to position yourself. This is the opportunity window.
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Customer Story of the Day
“Ross and the Traders Agency team are trustworthy.
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Embrace the surge,
Ross Givens
Editor, Stock Surge Daily
